In Shakespeare’s time, being musician was the poorest trade. Not because people were dark and didn’t care about music in late Medieval time, but quite the opposite - because literally everyone knew how to play. It was close to today’s Ireland, where music is one of the core disciplines. So, you had to be exceptional to impress anyone.
I think we are going to similar time - people with bad taste acquire ability to generate “music”, and pour it into streaming services. However, there is a funny difference between TikTok / Instagram and Spotify / Youtube Music kinds of services. The ones that serve images and videos, know that everyone can do it, and that what most people do is quite substandard. With music services, algorithms are different, assuming that you can’t produce a lot in a short time and just spam the ether. So, you get quite a few (sometimes - thousands!) of views before your track goes into the mist of time. And if you generate a few tracks a day, you get never-ending stream of views, and each view - is an unsatisfied customer, who got substandard sound instead of high quality music.
Interesting observation: most people who are fervently generating music with those services (Suno isn’t the only one), don’t see the difference between their generations and professional music. They actually think that their sounds are good. And they don’t really care, if it’s good, as long as they get their views. They don’t feel the harmony, don’t hear technical problems - in best case scenario, they will just put that track into online “one-click AI mastering tool” and done with it. Noise, echoes, clicks, hisses, etc etc - they simply ignore it. Often they don’t even finish listening to their new masterpiece before publishing it.
For each track you see in Discord, 10 more are published at the same time. And it’s only the beginning of the wave. Thousands new “artists” appeared now, but a hundred thousands more will appear soon. They will overwhelm the existing pool.
So, my point here is: when someone is generating “poetry” with ChatGPT and posts this nonsense to his blog - that’s awesome, because everyone is happy. When people are publishing noise to music streaming services - that’s a problem, because now I’m paying to hurt myself.
As for the instruments - no, I don’t think that they will start playing instruments. They will get interested for a moment, but then they will realise that 88 keys is too much, 12 notes is too hard to memorize, and that it’s easier to pay generation service for 6 years than to buy a decent digital piano. And speaking of simpler instruments - a simple flute costs nearly a thousand dollars, btw…
As always, the problem is not in AI. It’s in people. We need Skynet.